[Estimated release date: June 13, 2025] ABSTRACT This paper presents methodologies for evaluating the accuracy of probabilistic predictions, both as standalone forecasts and within a time series leading up to a single event. We apply these methods to assess the predictive performance of two major U.S. sportsbook operators, DraftKings and FanDuel, as well as the …read more.

This paper outlines a baseline sportsbook model for wagering on competitive trading card games (TCGs) such as Magic: The Gathering, Pokémon, and Yu-Gi-Oh!.